Loading latest update from Twitter... No content here? Either Twitter is down, or you can't access Twitter from your location.
Posts tagged:

regulation

02May

Everybody in the world knows who is responsible for the wrongdoing of News Corp: Rupert Murdoch. More than any individual alive, he is to blame. Morally, the deeds are his. He paid the piper and he called the tune.

Tom Watson, UK Labour MP, passes his judgement on News Corporation chairman Rupert Murdoch and his role in the phone-hacking scandal that culminated in the closing of the popular News of the World.

Overnight, a British parliamentary inquiry into allegations of phone hacking by UK newspapers handed down its findings. It does not make for pleasant reading for News Corporation, whose News of the World  Sunday tabloid was at the centre of the storm. NotW is no longer with us, having been shuttered last year. But the fallout continues, with Labour and Liberal Democrat MPs declaring that octogenarian media tycoon Rupert Murdoch was not a ‘fit and proper person’ to run a news empire.

The one saving grace for Murdoch is that while agreeing with the broad thrust of the inquiry report, the Conservative MPs on the committee flat out rejected the judgement — championed in particular by Labour’s Tom Watson — that Murdoch should be hammered. As the Conservatives’ Louise Mensch argued, it was not the committee’s place to make a determination of whether Murdoch was a ‘fit and proper’ media proprietor. Furthermore, she felt that given the size of the News Corp empire, it was simply too much to expect that one man could possibly know every single detail of what was happening at one newspaper in one country in which his company operated.

Despite the partisan split, the committee’s majority findings will inevitably have significant impacts. In the United States, where News Corp is primarily based, the inquiry report may prompt the Justice Department or the FBI to investigate News Corp’s conduct in that country. Even if it does not, it could still increase shareholder pressure on News Corp to consider management changes — while Murdoch is unlikely to be ousted out in a boardroom coup, the heat may bring forward any retirement plans he already has.

There could still be further ramifications in Britain as well. The communications regulator, Ofcom, could force News Corp to divest itself of its sizeable shareholding of subscription television broadcaster BSkyB — a company that News Corp was attempting to take over outright just as the phone hacking scandal erupted. This scenario becomes even more likely if the parliament as a whole takes up the committee’s report, with the possibility of a vote in the House of Commons to condemn Murdoch and News Corp.

Today is plainly a dark day for News Corp. But there will likely be many more dark days to come.


18Apr

By holding down rates in the state-controlled banking system since 2003, the [Chinese] government promoted an investment-led boom in exports. That boom has reached the end of the road.

Wall Street Journal editorial

In recent months, markets have been rattled by the prospect that China’s state-led engine for economic growth is spluttering — or, more charitably, the state is taking its foot off the accelerator. The plentiful supply of labour that has helped to supercharge the Chinese economy is starting to dry up (although even this can only be a relative judgement in a country with well over a billion people). That means that greater emphasis must be placed on lifting productivity.

China’s workers are certainly becoming more productive, partly due to the fruits of the country’s development: a more educated workforce, and greater technical innovation. But there is much still to be done. Capital misallocation remains a danger for China. To overcome this, greater liberalisation of financial markets is necessary. This isn’t just a story about the yuan — which American politicians love to attack as artificially undervalued. It’s about capital controls, with government calling the shots on where banks should invest the savings of Chinese workers. China’s banks, while seemingly profitable, are still highly dependent on the state. They hold vast sums of non-performing loans, and given rising costs of capital, this is hobbling the domestic banking sector. 

Less state-directed investment would aid the growth of China’s financial sector. It would also limit the scope for corruption, with senior bureaucrats less able to grant favours to feather their own nests. Finally, a freer economy will be less open to criticism from foreigners. All in all, the Wall Street Journal reckons that it’s a recipe for making China easier to govern.


19Mar

When the Fed leans toward the bright side, it isn’t accidental. As the organization that sets monetary policy and communicates the likely future direction of interest rates, the Fed feels the need to be careful about what it says, and goes out of its way to convey calmness.

Simon Johnson, Bloomberg View

Last week, the US Federal Reserve released the results of its banking ‘stress tests’ — intended to show the health of the country’s financial sector in the face of hypothetical future crises. Many (but not all) institutions apparently passed with flying colours. Some banks were reckoned to vastly exceed the sufficient level of capital to withstand unexpected shocks, and were therefore allowed to increase their dividend payments and buy back shares.

Economist Simon Johnson argues that this is wrong-headed. Given the amount of uncertainty in global financial markets, he contends that now is not the time to be relaxing requirements on American banks. Stress tests might be designed to model crises. But their robustness ultimately depends on the quality of the assumptions underpinning them. Johnson considers the Fed to have been too optimistic. For instance, in the light of the European debt crisis, it only considered the prospect of one major European bank going belly up. As Johnson notes, history suggests such failures are seldom limited to just one institution — the interconnectedness of the financial system means one bank failure can trigger terminal problems for other banks.

Even putting this to one side, the core problem is that such stress tests imply an ability to forecast the future. The events of the past five years confirm that no regulator is omniscient. Far better, says Johnson, to err on the side of caution rather than risk another financial catastrophe.